5/29/2014

EZ2: Would You Win Playing 100 Numbers Each Day?

What is your chance of winning if you are going to play 100 combinations each day for one month?

Gathered from EZ2 results beginning 1/2/2011, the following EZ2 numbers, 100 all in all, are the most frequently drawn combinations. Each combination had won 6 to 10 times as of 4/15/2014. (The last 17 combinations each won 6 times.)

01 - 04 07 - 07 15 - 02 21 - 10 30 - 24
01 - 30 08 - 01 15 - 05 21 - 18 30 - 29
02 - 24 08 - 14 15 - 10 21 - 30 31 - 24
03 - 06 09 - 14 15 - 20 22 - 08 02 - 14
03 - 10 09 - 24 15 - 23 22 - 17 02 - 20
03 - 13 10 - 01 16 - 03 22 - 28 04 - 29
03 - 30 10 - 06 16 - 11 23 - 12 07 - 27
04 - 04 10 - 09 16 - 16 25 - 01 08 - 24
04 - 22 10 - 22 16 - 17 25 - 05 12 - 08
05 - 01 10 - 27 17 - 03 25 - 17 13 - 05
05 - 03 10 - 28 17 - 10 25 - 25 14 - 23
05 - 11 11 - 09 17 - 24 26 - 01 15 - 08
05 - 13 11 - 20 18 - 08 26 - 02 15 - 14
05 - 16 12 - 06 18 - 10 26 - 19 18 - 02
05 - 23 12 - 28 19 - 28 27 - 18 19 - 20
06 - 02 13 - 01 20 - 04 28 - 22 20 - 18
06 - 09 14 - 04 20 - 05 28 - 28 24 - 10
06 - 11 14 - 07 20 - 06 29 - 01 27 - 08
06 - 13 14 - 16 21 - 02 29 - 04 29 - 30
06 - 15 14 - 28 21 - 03 29 - 06 30 - 15

If you are going to play the above top 100 most frequently winning EZ2 combinations every day for one month, from 4/21/2014 until 5/20/2014, how often could you have won?

You'd be surprised to know that you could have won only 4 times. Based on succeeding results from 4/21/2014 up to 5/20/2014 (there were no drawings from 4/16/2014 to 4/20/2014), only 4 of the EZ2 numbers above had won.

 Therefore,
  • Playing for the most frequently winning numbers does not guarantee a greater chance of winning;
  • Playing 100 numbers each day does not also guarantee a greater chance of winning.
In that case, where did the winning numbers come from?

Based on the results from 4/21/2014 to 5/20/2014, the following table shows which type of numbers were winning in that period. The label pf stands for performance factor. It indicates the winning frequency of a combination. Factor 1 denotes that certain combinations had won only once; while factor 7 denotes that certain combinations had won 7 times, and so forth and so on. Factor 0 means that certain combinations had not won even once. The pf is based on a one-month period. Instances (i) refers to the number of instances the factor occurred in a specific period. For this analysis, it covers a one-month period.


pfInstances
012
126
214
314
412
507
604
701

Explanation
pf = 1
This means that combinations that had won only once in the previous periods had 26 instances of winning in the next period.
pf = 2 or pf = 3
This means that combinations that had won only twice or thrice in the previous periods had 14 instances of winning in the next period.
pf = 0 or pf = 4
This means that combinations that had not won in previous periods; or had won 4 times in previous periods had 12 instances winning in the next period.
pf = 5, pf = 6, pf = 7
This means that combinations that had won most frequently in prior periods had only 1 to 7 instances of winning in the next period.
Therefore,


Let's test it.
 

As of 4/15/2014, there were only 65 EZ2 combinations that had won once (pf=1, i=26). If you played these numbers for one month every day, you could have won 12 times. This, of course, assumes that you played for every draw. The chances are greater, but unfortunately, it is not enough to break-even what you have spent. 

Would you like to try it? 

As of today, the following numbers had won only once since 12/9/2013. If theory serves us correct, any of these numbers might win again in the next 30 days. Let me know if you had won any.
 
20-0206-0129-0327-1324-01
10-1720-0322-0407-1213-24
06-2314-1523-1006-1708-16
30-1108-0516-0107-2314-24
18-0509-2024-2819-1725-14
17-2530-0316-0618-2129-28
29-2413-0928-2117-1522-14
05-2229-2527-2413-3028-23
11-1825-2806-1407-2808-29
19-0207-1012-2615-3124-07

Good Luck!

5/15/2014

Some Tips For Playing Poker More Wisely

It looks like I have saturated my mind studying numbers and statistics. While my analytic mind takes a respite, I thought I should write some off-topic articles, but still related to recreation. This is to keep my blog active. Among my blogs, LottoTips888 is the most widely visited with 66,000 pageviews as of today.

Poker is one game I have never played. In fact, I don't know how to play it. I'm not a gambler but it's okay with me to play cards for fun. I am thinking why some people are too engrossed in playing poker. What's in the poker that makes them glued to their seats?

To be a smarter player is to value your money for your family.
After some research, I now understand why poker is an exciting game. Though poker is a game of chance, it requires skill. Unlike the lottery, a poker player can increase his odds of winning by playing smart. To be smart means making wise decisions when to fold, see or call, and raise. To fold is to give up; to see or call is to stay in the game; and to raise is to increase your pot. This skill requires gut feel, keen observation, and bluffing.

To be a smarter player, of course, is to value your money for your family, more than for anyone else, such as your opponents.

Why the pros win more frequently

If professional poker players are winning more often than the average players, would they share their secrets, if ever they have one? Maybe not! Would you?

Remember this. The poker pros want your money. They are happy if you're a newbie player. They utilize their strengths, and capitalize on the weaknesses of others.

So, how do the biggest players win substantial amount of money? According to an article "Four Poker Tips The Pros Won't Tell You" by Paul Runyan, the "best players in the world aren’t doing anything really spectacular other than following basic poker tips."

What follows are some tips that I have gathered on the Net.
  1. Keep a "poker face". You must have heard this expression a hundred times not to mention, in Lady Gaga's song that you kept singing out of tune. In poker, it is necessary that your oponents do not see your facial expressions, your eye movements, gestures, and breathing. Otherwise, they, especially the pros, would have an idea if you're losing or winning.
  2. Observe your winning opponents. Study how they play the game. Then, copy how they play it. For a newbie, it's a trial and error. In time, you're going to learn how they actually play it. Your winning opponents observe you as well. They'll study your weaknesses. So make sure you have that poker face. Learn how to face your expressions and gestures.
  3. Bet wisely and budget your money. This is the wisest tip you can follow. Don't be a gambler; be a player. Have fun and enjoy the game but respect your money. Your loved ones deserve more your hard-earned money that your opponents. Set a limit on how much you are going to spend in the casino. Have the discipline to not exceed it. If you had a bad day at the tables, don't put yourself in debt. It's not worth it. Remember that there are other more fun things that money can buy.
  4. Don't bet high (aka high rollers). This can lead to drastic losses. Play moderately and just slightly increase your bets when you know you have a good hand. Avoid the extremes. Don’t bet too little because you might just lose money in the long run. Don’t bet too much because you might lose a lot of money on only one hand.
  5. Take your time. The pros think very fast because they are pros!
  6. Know when to fold (give up your cards), when to stay in, and when to raise your pot-money (nickel or token). Having two face cards is a good reason to stay in. Having two different low number cards may be a reason to fold. If you notice high bets from a player who does not bluff, you should probably fold. Know when to take risks and when to be cautious.
  7. Last but not least. Have fun! Instead of going to the casino, spend quality time with your family. Treat poker as a family activity. Instead of money, chip in to the pot a promise to do a household chore; or a treat to fastfood restaurant.